Home Builders Confidence Is Beginning To Soar

The Mountain Life Team Blogger January 19, 2012

Housing Market Index 2000-2012

Homebuilder confidence is soaring on a National Level, but what about in the North Georgia Mountains?

For the fourth straight month, the National Association of Homebuilders reports an increase in its Housing Market Index. The index climbed 4 points to 25 this month — its second four-point gain since October.

With home sales activity increasing across all four regions, the monthly HMI has now nearly doubled in value since June 2011. The HMI is now at a 55-month high.

The Housing Market Index itself is a composite reading; the result of three home builder surveys sent by the National Association of Homebuilders to its members monthly. Home builders report back on current single-family home sales volume; projected single-family home sales volume for the next 6 months; and current buyer “foot traffic”.

The NAHB then results compiles the surveys into a single reading.

In January, home builders reported improving sales conditions across all three categories :

  • Current Single-Family Sales : 25 (+3 from December)
  • Projected Single-Family Sales : 29 (+3 from December)
  • Buyer Foot Traffic : 21 (+3 from December)

The Housing Market Index corroborates recent U.S. government data that suggests housing is mending in Georgia. Both Housing Starts and New Home Sales have out-performed expectations of late, it’s been shown, and the stock of new homes for sale nationwide is dwindling.

Here in the North Georgia Mountain Real Estate Market, new homes for sale are more than dwindling, they are almost non-existent. Out of 1,757 Homes currently listed within our Northeast Georgia MLS, only 79 are either Under Construction or Completed New. That is only 4.5% of the Market.

All of this, of course, is happening as demand from buyers heats up.  Foot traffic through builder homes is higher than it’s been in more than 3 years, say the builders — a time period that includes the duration of the 2010 home buyer tax credit.

It’s no surprise, therefore, that builders expect a strong 2012.

Jobs data is improving, mortgage rates remain low, and housing momentum is building. For home buyers in Blairsville and Blue Ridge, however, it may spell higher home prices ahead. Big demand and small supply creates scarcity and scarcity correlates to rising prices.

If you’re shopping new homes, the best “deal” may be the one you find today. Contact Us today to begin your North Georgia Mountain Home Search.

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